| Gilchrist | 0.83% → 5.41% | ordinal formatting, normalised |
| Franklin | 1.21% | unreadable — RED |
Resolved 2026-07-31. Nine counties whose rate was suppressed by address
convention are now read through jv_address_county. The screen had carried its
own copy of the comparison, labelled "VERBATIM from build_checker_db" — it was
not, and had not been since the checker learned per-county conventions. There is
one implementation now and the screen calls it. The count moved
579,853 → 617,235 (+37,805): Pasco +16,629, Charlotte +10,462, Santa Rosa
+6,854, Flagler +2,928, Levy +637, Gilchrist +144, Dixie +70, Hamilton +41,
Liberty +40.
Gilchrist was previously listed here as "genuine composition." That reading
was wrong. The county writes 4599 SW 90 CT where the mailing address says
4599 SW 90TH CT; normalising numeric ordinals took its homesteaded
mail-equals-situs rate from 6.0% to 70.1%. The genuine composition in Gilchrist
is the 12% of homesteaded owners who mail to a PO box — real, and an order of
magnitude smaller than the formatting effect it was mistaken for.
617,235 is still a floor, and the gap has two different kinds of cause
These are not the same kind of uncertainty and collapsing them into one
sentence hides which way the next revision moves.
Unmeasured — the screen cannot run. DeSoto and Franklin are classified RED:
their homesteaded mail-equals-situs rates (34.8% and 20.6%) sit below the floor
at which the comparison can be trusted, and the normalisation that explains the
other nine does not explain them. Their true contribution is unknown, not
low. Saying they are low would assert something about their homeowners;
saying they are unreadable asserts something about their records, and only the
second is supported. This gap cannot be sized from held data — it can only be
closed by diagnosing those two counties.
Measured — real composition. The residual inside the counties that DO read
correctly is genuine and quantified: owners who mail to a PO box (12% of
homesteaded parcels in Gilchrist, 17% in Levy and Dixie, 21% in Liberty),
genuine second-home and seasonal ownership, and records whose two address
fields disagree on the directional — Hamilton writes mailing 7468 SE 191ST AVE
against situs 7468 NE 191ST AVE. That last one is a roll data-quality
problem, and it is deliberately not normalised away: a rule that joined
those addresses would manufacture the false negatives this whole method exists
to avoid.
So the predicted direction of the next revision is up, by an unknown amount
from two counties, and not by much from anything else. The composition
residual is not recoverable — it is what the method correctly declines to
count.
Two further consequences:
County rates should not be ranked against each other as a market signal without normalising
the address comparison first.
The low end of the table is not what it looks like. Some genuinely low counties reflect real
second-home and seasonal ownership. Others are unreadable by this method, and the table now
distinguishes the two.
Roughly 8% of counted parcels — 50,447 — carry a trust or estate in the owner name. We don't
exclude them, because a revocable trust or a life estate can hold a homestead — but we can't tell
from the roll whether a particular one does, which is why our checker shows those owners a caution
rather than a conclusion.
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What this number does not mean
It does not mean 617,235 people are entitled to an exemption.
It does not mean any of them will receive $451, or any amount.
It is not a count of eligible homeowners, of unclaimed benefits, or of money anyone is owed.
It is a count of parcels that look owner-occupied on the public record and carry no homestead
exemption — and a reason for any homeowner to check their own record, which is free and takes a
few seconds.
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Our checker's coverage
The screen above covers all 67 Florida counties, and so does our address checker
(67 counties, read from the roll it was built from).
Comparable-sales analysis is narrower and is named on every page that offers it.
JustValue is an independent, third-party review of Florida property-tax records — not affiliated with any county property appraiser, and never paid a percentage of your savings.